Wednesday, May 20, 2009

Are you psychic? - Check out GotPsi.org

If you haven't done so yet, be sure to check out the fascinating, rigorously developed "PSI" - psychic ability - tests at http://gotpsi.org. Do you think you're psychic? See for yourself in what way with a variety of tests on that website.

I propose that there may arguably be a more valid way to score those tests than is displayed on the website.

GotPsi has an elegant, rigorous system where test performance scores are collected and arithmetically averaged over both a given day and a month. Scores greater than chance are signed positive while scores less than chance are negative. Those signed numbers are averaged. Most users will assume that the higher a positive score, the more psychic may be that person's demonstrated performance on tests.

However, since any deviation whatsoever from chance potentially demonstrates psychic ability - whether much better than chance or much worse than chance - it seems to me that a more significant score would result from taking an average of the "absolute" - unsigned - score numbers.

The hypothesis is that if a highly "psychic" person and an insensitive both take enough tests, then their arithmetic average in the GotPsi scoring system will approximately approach chance - the psychic as well as the insensitive person. A highly psychic person thus would appear to average out as just "normal". But the actual distinction between the two individuals may be how often and how strongly their test performances deviate from chance. Whether the deviation is better or worse than chance doesn't matter. What matters is how much and how often that person's psychic instincts may lead to any deviation from chance. The scoring system therefore may be more accurate if it accounts for total average deviation from chance rather than simply whether an average score is positive or negative.

Tuesday, May 19, 2009

Arrowcatcher website updates now a blog

Hello to all Arrowcatcher visitors!

All further Arrowcatcher website updates will be in the form of a blog rather than new pages on the website - http://arrowcatcher.com. This way visitors can easily and anonymously make comments rather than sending email. Essays from existing pages will gradually migrate to the blog.

I hope everyone will enjoy this new, more modern way to communicate ideas.